Launch Pack — The First $600

New ad account, zero history. What gets judged, when, and what it takes to earn a verdict.

First $150 judges the pipe. First $450 judges the ads. First 12 leads judge the account.
Nothing earns a verdict early — except junk leads and broken plumbing.
Phase 0
$0
Gates. No spend until all pass.
Phase 1
$0–150
Judge the plumbing. Never the ads.
Phase 2
$150–450
Ad verdicts. $40 = yellow, $100 = kill.
Phase 3
12 leads
First booking verdict. Not before.
Phase 0 · before $1 of spend

Launch gates

Every gate below has already killed an account. All must pass.

Phase 1 · $0–150 · roughly days 1–5

Judge the plumbing. Never the ads.

Structure is fixed: 2 adsets × 2 pillar ads, $25–30/day. Below $15/ad/day you are starving every ad you own.

The junk ruling

Junk leads accuse the plumbing first, not the ad. 2 junk in the first 3 leads = same-day targeting + form audit (geo, rings, qualifier).

Kill an ad for junk only when all three are true: ≥3 junk leads from that ad · the other ads in the adset get clean leads · none of its leads booked.
One booked real lead beats the junk ones — keep the ad, fix the targeting/form leak.

Phase 2 · $150–450

Ad verdicts — earned, not felt

A zero-lead day means nothing. A good ad at $30/day shows zero leads half its days. Verdicts happen at spend checkpoints:

$40
spent, zero leads
Yellow — swap only
Only 15% of these recover into good ads (vs 50% for ads that had a lead by $40). Swap it only if a proven pillar ad is already made and ready. Never add extra ads on top.
$100
spent, zero leads
Kill — no debate
0 of 15 ads in fleet history that were leadless at $100 ever became viable. This line is empirical, not opinion.
Phase 3 · at 10–12 quality leads · ≈$450–600

First booking verdict — not before

4 unbooked leads means nothing: a healthy account goes 0-for-4 about 18% of the time. At 10–12 leads, zeros become real:

Booked (of 10–12)Odds if account is healthyCall
3+ (≥30%)expectedHealthy — graduate
1–2~10–25%Plumbing audit before any budget increase
0~1–2%Freeze spend — full-chain audit

A zero here is never a creative problem. It's geo, offer, form, or the setter chain — and it's found by audit, not by launching more ads.

After graduation — steady-state rules

Once the account has history, these four replace the launch pack:
  1. Booking rate is the account's grade. CPL is the ad's grade. Never grade one with the other.
  2. Your CPL budget is the booking rate with a $ sign. Books 50% → pay up to $50/lead. Books 35% → $35. (That's $100/appt worked backwards.)
  3. Under 30% booking = account problem, and account problems are fixable. The $100/appt target cannot be reached at any realistic CPL, so stop ad changes and fix the account (geo, offer, form, setter chain) — then re-test. Boost Air booked 20% in February and became a top account after the fix. The floor means "stop and repair," never "give up on the client."
  4. A winner is leads that book, not cheap leads. At ~15 sheet-adjudicated leads per ad, judge booked% vs the account average. An ad printing cheap leads that never book is the most expensive ad you own.

Thresholds derived from fleet data, 2026-03 → 2026-07: 29 accounts, ~$164k spend, 3,700 leads, 5,994 sheet-adjudicated lead verdicts. Key numbers: $100-zero recovery 0/15 · $40-zero recovery 15% vs 50% baseline · healthy-account booking floor 30% (every surviving account ≥29%, every failed account ≤27%) · KPI anchor: $100 per booked appointment.